Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 14· Lemonsoft Stadion
VPS
Mariehamn4-0
FT
VPS vs Mariehamn Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 4 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More VPS vs Mariehamn tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5VPS +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XVPS or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| X2Mariehamn or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 52% | 1.92 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 48% | 2.09 | - |
| 1VPS to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5VPS -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.75 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Mariehamn to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mariehamn -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.79 | - |
VPS vs Mariehamn preview & analysis
Match preview
VPS host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga (Regular Season - 14) at Lemonsoft Stadion on Saturday, 4 July 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, VPS have won 3, Mariehamn have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes VPS favourites: VPS 47%, draw 41%, Mariehamn 12%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
VPS vs Mariehamn: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win VPS vs Mariehamn?
+
VPS are favourites. Our model gives VPS a 47% chance of winning, Mariehamn 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in VPS vs Mariehamn?
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We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does VPS vs Mariehamn kick off?
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VPS vs Mariehamn kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 4 July 2026 at Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa.
