World Cup· Round of 16· NRG Stadium
Canada
Morocco0-3
FT
Canada vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 4 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Canada vs Morocco tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Morocco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Morocco or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Canada +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XCanada or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| 2Morocco to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Morocco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.58 | - |
| 1Canada to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Canada -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.18 | - |
Canada vs Morocco preview & analysis
Match preview
Canada host Morocco in the World Cup (Round of 16) at NRG Stadium on Saturday, 4 July 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Canada arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat South Africa 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 4 points from 3 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Canada have won 0, Morocco have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Morocco narrow favourites: Canada 23%, draw 38%, Morocco 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 59% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Canada- 28 JunASouth Africa1-0
- 24 JunASwitzerland1-2
MoroccoHead to head
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
Canada vs Morocco: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Canada vs Morocco?
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Morocco are favourites. Our model gives Canada a 23% chance of winning, Morocco 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Canada vs Morocco?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Canada vs Morocco kick off?
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Canada vs Morocco kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 4 July 2026 at NRG Stadium, Houston.
