Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 9
Vitória SC
Maritimo23 Oct
Vitória SC vs Maritimo Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Vitória SC to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Vitória SC vs Maritimo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vitória SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| 1XVitória SC or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| AH2 +1.5Maritimo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.53 | 1.34 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 52% | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 48% | 2.09 | 1.95 |
| X2Maritimo or Draw | 47% | 2.13 | 2.09 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | 2.10 |
| AH1 -1.5Vitória SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.89 | - |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.45 | 3.71 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.84 | 3.42 |
| 2Maritimo to win | 18% | 5.57 | 4.90 |
| AH2 -1.5Maritimo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.11 | 9.80 |
Vitória SC vs Maritimo odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.60 | - | - | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.71 | 4.90 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.56 | 4.70 | 2.02 | 1.74 | 1.92 | 1.77 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.65 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
Vitória SC vs Maritimo preview & analysis
Match preview
Vitória SC host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vitória SC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Benfica 0-2 away. They're 15th in the table with 5 points from 8 games. Maritimo are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to FC Porto 1-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vitória SC have won 5, Maritimo have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vitória SC favourites: Vitória SC 53%, draw 29%, Maritimo 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Vitória SC have the stronger profile here and home advantage tips it further their way. Our pick is Vitória SC to win at 1.79, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vitória SC 1-0 Maritimo.
Recent form
Vitória SC- 11 OctABenfica0-2
- 25 SeptAChaves1-0
- 20 SeptHMoreirense1-1
- 12 SeptAAcademico Viseu1-2
- 6 SeptHCasa Pia0-0
Maritimo- 10 OctHFC Porto1-2
- 19 SeptAGIL Vicente1-1
- 14 SeptAMoreirense1-3
- 5 SeptHBenfica0-3
- 29 AugAArouca1-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Vitória SC vs Maritimo: FAQ
What is the Vitória SC vs Maritimo prediction?
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Our tip is Vitória SC to win at odds of 1.79. Our predicted score is Vitória SC 1-0 Maritimo.
Who is the favourite to win Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
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Vitória SC are favourites. Our model gives Vitória SC a 53% chance of winning, Maritimo 18%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
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We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vitória SC vs Maritimo kick off?
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Vitória SC vs Maritimo kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026.
