Champions League· League Stage - 4· Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain3 Nov
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Paris Saint Germain or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XVillarreal or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Paris Saint Germain to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Villarreal to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain preview & analysis
Match preview
Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Estadio de la Ceramica on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Villarreal arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Napoli 3-1 at home. They're 14th in the table with 3 points from 2 games. Paris Saint Germain arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Manchester City 4-2 away. They're 1st in the table with 6 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain narrow favourites: Villarreal 23%, draw 38%, Paris Saint Germain 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Villarreal 1-2 Paris Saint Germain.
Recent form
Villarreal- 13 OctHNapoli3-1
- 10 OctAReal Madrid0-1
- 20 SeptHLevante3-1
- 17 SeptAMalaga3-1
- 14 SeptHReal Betis1-2
Paris Saint Germain- 14 OctAManchester City4-2
- 10 OctHLe Mans3-1
- 20 SeptAMarseille2-1
- 13 SeptAStade Brestois 291-0
- 9 SeptHSlovan Bratislava6-1
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: FAQ
What is the Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Villarreal 1-2 Paris Saint Germain.
Who is the favourite to win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Villarreal a 23% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
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Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal.
