Champions League· League Stage - 4· Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Bayern München3 Nov
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Bayern München +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Bayern München or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XAtletico Madrid or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Bayern München to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bayern München -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Atletico Madrid to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Bayern München in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Metropolitano Stadium on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico Madrid arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Manchester United 2-0 at home. They're 15th in the table with 3 points from 2 games. Bayern München arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Viking 3-3 away. They're 10th in the table with 4 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Madrid have won 2, Bayern München have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayern München narrow favourites: Atletico Madrid 23%, draw 38%, Bayern München 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bayern München.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid- 13 OctHManchester United2-0
- 10 OctAAlaves2-1
- 20 SeptHReal Madrid2-1
- 16 SeptHOsasuna4-0
- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
Bayern München- 13 OctAViking3-3
- 10 OctAFC Augsburg2-2
- 18 SeptHUnion Berlin7-0
- 13 SeptASV Elversberg2-1
- 10 SeptHBodo/Glimt5-0
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 8 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München: FAQ
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bayern München.
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
+
Bayern München are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 23% chance of winning, Bayern München 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
+
We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München kick off?
+
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.
