DFB Pokal· Round of 32· Vonovia Ruhrstadion
VfL Bochum
FSV Mainz 0527 Oct
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2FSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5VfL Bochum +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XVfL Bochum or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2FSV Mainz 05 to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1VfL Bochum to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5VfL Bochum -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 preview & analysis
Match preview
VfL Bochum host FSV Mainz 05 in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
VfL Bochum arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 at home. FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, VfL Bochum have won 0, FSV Mainz 05 have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 narrow favourites: VfL Bochum 23%, draw 38%, FSV Mainz 05 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is VfL Bochum 1-2 FSV Mainz 05.
Recent form
VfL Bochum- 11 OctHArminia Bielefeld0-1
- 2 OctHVfL Osnabrück4-1
- 20 SeptAHannover 961-2
- 12 SeptHSpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
- 5 SeptADynamo Dresden2-1
FSV Mainz 05- 10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4
- 3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0
- 19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
- 12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
- 6 SeptAHamburger SV5-0
Head to head
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: FAQ
What is the VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is VfL Bochum 1-2 FSV Mainz 05.
Who is the favourite to win VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
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FSV Mainz 05 are favourites. Our model gives VfL Bochum a 23% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
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VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum.
