Liga Profesional· Clausura - 15
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo31 Oct
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.5 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
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More Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Velez Sarsfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XVelez Sarsfield or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2San Lorenzo or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Velez Sarsfield to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Velez Sarsfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2San Lorenzo to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5San Lorenzo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo preview & analysis
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 15) on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Velez Sarsfield arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Lanus 0-2 away. They're 3rd in the table with 28 points from 16 games. San Lorenzo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Deportivo Riestra 1-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 22 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Velez Sarsfield have won 2, San Lorenzo have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Velez Sarsfield narrow favourites: Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 38%, San Lorenzo 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Velez Sarsfield 1-0 San Lorenzo.
Recent form
Velez Sarsfield- 12 OctALanus0-2
- 5 OctHPlatense2-2
- 21 SeptHTigre3-2
- 11 SeptANewells Old Boys1-1
- 6 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.1-0
San Lorenzo- 11 OctHDeportivo Riestra1-0
- 3 OctADefensa Y Justicia0-3
- 20 SeptHBoca Juniors0-2
- 13 SeptAIndependiente1-1
- 5 SeptHTalleres Cordoba1-0
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo: FAQ
What is the Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Velez Sarsfield 1-0 San Lorenzo.
Who is the favourite to win Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
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Velez Sarsfield are favourites. Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 44% chance of winning, San Lorenzo 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo kick off?
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Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo kicks off at 22:15 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
