Liga Profesional· Apertura - 9· Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys1-1
FT
Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 4 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Newells Old Boys +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Velez Sarsfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Newells Old Boys or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XVelez Sarsfield or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Newells Old Boys to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Velez Sarsfield to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Newells Old Boys -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Velez Sarsfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys preview & analysis
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - 9) at Jose Amalfitani on Monday, 4 May 2026, with kick-off at 22:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Velez Sarsfield have won 4, Newells Old Boys have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newells Old Boys narrow favourites: Velez Sarsfield 23%, draw 38%, Newells Old Boys 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?
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Newells Old Boys are favourites. Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 23% chance of winning, Newells Old Boys 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys kick off?
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Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys kicks off at 22:15 UTC on Monday, 4 May 2026 at Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires.
