Premier League· Regular Season - 35· Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton
Manchester City3-3
FT
Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 4 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Everton vs Manchester City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Manchester City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Everton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XEverton or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2Manchester City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Everton to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Everton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Everton vs Manchester City preview & analysis
Match preview
Everton host Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 35) at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Monday, 4 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Everton have won 0, Manchester City have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Everton 23%, draw 38%, Manchester City 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Everton vs Manchester City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Everton vs Manchester City?
+
Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Everton a 23% chance of winning, Manchester City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Manchester City?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Everton vs Manchester City kick off?
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Everton vs Manchester City kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Monday, 4 May 2026 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.
