Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Betting Tips

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off 21:00

Our prediction

Under 2.5 goals

Medium· 58%

1xBet1.70

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

1-0

Fair odds

1.72

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.1

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Match probabilities

39%Vasco DA Gama

32%Draw

29%Boca Juniors

Over 2.5 goals42%

Under 2.5 goals58%

Both teams to score49%

Clean sheet either side51%

More Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	89%	1.13	1.06
AH2 +1.5Boca Juniors +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	81%	1.24	1.09
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	77%	1.29	1.17
1XVasco DA Gama or Draw	71%	1.41	1.43
X2Boca Juniors or Draw	61%	1.63	1.55
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	51%	1.95	1.84
BTTS YesBoth teams to score	49%	2.05	1.91
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.39	2.32
1Vasco DA Gama to win	39%	2.59	2.63
XDraw	32%	3.09	3.25
2Boca Juniors to win	29%	3.45	3.04
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.39	3.95
AH1 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	19%	5.18	5.25
AH2 -1.5Boca Juniors -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	11%	8.73	6.35

Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker	1	X	2	O2.5	U2.5	BTTS	No BTTS
William Hill	2.40	3.00	2.90	-	-	1.91	1.83
1xBet	2.63	3.20	3.04	2.32	1.70	1.86	1.84
Dafabet	2.50	3.25	2.90	-	-	-	-
Bet365	2.45	3.30	2.88	2.30	1.60	2.00	1.73
Marathonbet	2.50	3.04	2.89	2.21	1.62	1.86	1.82
Betfair	2.40	3.10	2.88	-	-	-	-
Pinnacle	2.52	3.01	3.07	2.28	1.62	-	-
Betano	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.27	1.67	1.88	1.85

Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors preview & analysis

Match preview

Vasco DA Gama host Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana (Semi-finals) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Vasco DA Gama arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Boca Juniors arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 0-1 at home.

Head to head

In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Vasco DA Gama have won 1, Boca Juniors have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Vasco DA Gama narrow favourites: Vasco DA Gama 39%, draw 32%, Boca Juniors 29%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 42% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.

Our tip

This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.70, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Boca Juniors.