La Liga· Regular Season - 12· Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Real Madrid7 Nov
Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.1 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Valencia vs Real Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Real Madrid or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Valencia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| 1XValencia or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Real Madrid to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.91 | - |
| 1Valencia to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Valencia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.79 | - |
Valencia vs Real Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Valencia host Real Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 12) at Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Valencia are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with Racing Santander 2-2 away. They're 19th in the table with 5 points from 8 games. Real Madrid arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat AS Roma 4-3 away. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Valencia have won 1, Real Madrid have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Madrid narrow favourites: Valencia 17%, draw 41%, Real Madrid 42%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.1 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid.
Recent form
Valencia- 11 OctARacing Santander2-2
- 20 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
- 15 SeptAAlaves1-0
- 11 SeptASevilla0-1
- 6 SeptHBarcelona0-5
Real Madrid- 14 OctAAS Roma4-3
- 10 OctHVillarreal1-0
- 20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2
- 15 SeptAElche3-2
- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Valencia vs Real Madrid: FAQ
What is the Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid.
Who is the favourite to win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
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Real Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Valencia a 17% chance of winning, Real Madrid 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Real Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Valencia vs Real Madrid kick off?
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Valencia vs Real Madrid kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.
