Bundesliga· Regular Season - 9· Mewa Arena
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München7 Nov
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Bayern München +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Bayern München or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XFSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Bayern München to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bayern München -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1FSV Mainz 05 to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München preview & analysis
Match preview
FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9) at Mewa Arena on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 at home. They're 9th in the table with 7 points from 5 games. Bayern München arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Viking 3-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 11 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FSV Mainz 05 have won 1, Bayern München have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayern München narrow favourites: FSV Mainz 05 23%, draw 38%, Bayern München 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern München.
Recent form
FSV Mainz 05- 10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4
- 3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0
- 19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
- 12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
- 6 SeptAHamburger SV5-0
Bayern München- 13 OctAViking3-3
- 10 OctAFC Augsburg2-2
- 18 SeptHUnion Berlin7-0
- 13 SeptASV Elversberg2-1
- 10 SeptHBodo/Glimt5-0
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: FAQ
What is the FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern München.
Who is the favourite to win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
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Bayern München are favourites. Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 23% chance of winning, Bayern München 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München kick off?
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
