Belgian Pro League· Regular Season - 8· Stade Joseph Marien
Union St. Gilloise
OH Leuven1-1
FT
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
More Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Union St. Gilloise +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XUnion St. Gilloise or Draw | 93% | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| 1Union St. Gilloise to win | 72% | 1.39 | 1.25 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | 1.42 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| AH1 -1.5Union St. Gilloise -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.80 | 1.74 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.05 | 1.89 |
| AH2 +1.5OH Leuven +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.25 | 2.12 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 | 2.20 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | 2.49 |
| X2OH Leuven or Draw | 28% | 3.56 | 3.92 |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.81 | 6.40 |
| 2OH Leuven to win | 7% | 13.64 | 11.00 |
| AH2 -1.5OH Leuven -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.94 | - |
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 | - | - | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 6.31 | 11.00 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.40 | 11.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.75 | 10.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 6.00 | 10.50 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.89 | 1.79 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.50 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 6.47 | 13.04 | 1.47 | 2.72 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.42 | 8.68 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.28 | 6.40 | 11.00 | 1.52 | 2.62 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven preview & analysis
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise host OH Leuven in the Belgian Pro League (Regular Season - 8) at Stade Joseph Marien on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Union St. Gilloise arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Antwerp 2-0 away. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 8 games. OH Leuven are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat RAAL La Louvière 2-0 at home. They're 15th in the table with 5 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Union St. Gilloise have won 4, OH Leuven have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Union St. Gilloise clear favourites: Union St. Gilloise 72%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 7%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.6 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Union St. Gilloise- 20 SeptAAntwerp2-0
- 17 SeptAPlzen3-0
- 12 SeptHLommel United5-0
- 5 SeptACharleroi3-2
- 2 SeptASt. Truiden3-0
OH Leuven- 19 SeptHRAAL La Louvière2-0
- 12 SeptHCercle Brugge1-1
- 6 SeptASK Beveren0-3
- 3 SeptAGent0-1
- 29 AugHStandard Liege1-2
Head to head
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 21 |
| 3 |  Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  KVC Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Standard Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 |  St. Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
| 18 |  Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
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Union St. Gilloise are favourites. Our model gives Union St. Gilloise a 72% chance of winning, OH Leuven 7%, and the draw 21%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven kick off?
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Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels.
