Europa League· League Stage - 5· Den Dreef
Union St. Gilloise
Lech Poznan26 Nov
Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 26 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.46
Expected goals
1.5 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Lech Poznan or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Union St. Gilloise +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XUnion St. Gilloise or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Lech Poznan to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.18 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 | - |
| 1Union St. Gilloise to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Union St. Gilloise -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.38 | - |
Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan preview & analysis
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise host Lech Poznan in the Europa League (League Stage - 5) at Den Dreef on Thursday, 26 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Union St. Gilloise arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad 1-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 4 points from 2 games. Lech Poznan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0-4 at home. They're 36th in the table with 0 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lech Poznan narrow favourites: Union St. Gilloise 23%, draw 38%, Lech Poznan 39%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 69% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Union St. Gilloise 1-2 Lech Poznan.
Recent form
Union St. Gilloise- 15 OctHReal Sociedad1-1
- 11 OctHOH Leuven1-1
- 20 SeptAAntwerp2-0
- 17 SeptAPlzen3-0
- 12 SeptHLommel United5-0
Lech Poznan- 15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4
- 10 OctASlask Wroclaw4-1
- 3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2
- 20 SeptHRadomiak Radom5-1
- 17 SeptACrystal Palace0-4
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 12 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan: FAQ
What is the Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1-2 Lech Poznan.
Who is the favourite to win Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?
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Lech Poznan are favourites. Our model gives Union St. Gilloise a 23% chance of winning, Lech Poznan 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?
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We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan kick off?
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Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 26 November 2026 at Den Dreef, Heverlee.
