Europa League· League Stage - 5· Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Olympiakos Piraeus
AC Milan26 Nov
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 26 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
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More Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Olympiakos Piraeus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XOlympiakos Piraeus or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2AC Milan or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Olympiakos Piraeus to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Olympiakos Piraeus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2AC Milan to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan preview & analysis
Match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus host AC Milan in the Europa League (League Stage - 5) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium on Thursday, 26 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Olympiakos Piraeus arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Marseille 1-0 away. They're 10th in the table with 6 points from 2 games. AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 16th in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Olympiakos Piraeus have won 1, AC Milan have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Olympiakos Piraeus narrow favourites: Olympiakos Piraeus 44%, draw 38%, AC Milan 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AC Milan.
Recent form
Olympiakos Piraeus- 15 OctAMarseille1-0
- 11 OctHPanathinaikos1-0
- 20 SeptALevadiakos1-0
- 16 SeptHJagiellonia2-1
- 12 SeptHOFI0-1
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |  OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan: FAQ
What is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AC Milan.
Who is the favourite to win Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan?
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Olympiakos Piraeus are favourites. Our model gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 44% chance of winning, AC Milan 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan kick off?
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Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 26 November 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.
