Belgian Pro League· Regular Season - 11· Stade Joseph Marien
Union St. Gilloise
Genk8 Nov
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Union St. Gilloise vs Genk tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Union St. Gilloise +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XUnion St. Gilloise or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Genk +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Genk or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Union St. Gilloise to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Union St. Gilloise -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Genk to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Genk -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk preview & analysis
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise host Genk in the Belgian Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at Stade Joseph Marien on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Union St. Gilloise arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 8 games. Genk arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Kortrijk 3-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 12 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Union St. Gilloise have won 5, Genk have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Union St. Gilloise narrow favourites: Union St. Gilloise 44%, draw 38%, Genk 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Genk.
Recent form
Union St. Gilloise- 15 OctHReal Sociedad1-1
- 11 OctHOH Leuven1-1
- 20 SeptAAntwerp2-0
- 17 SeptAPlzen3-0
- 12 SeptHLommel United5-0
Genk- 10 OctHKortrijk3-0
- 3 OctHFortuna Sittard1-2
- 20 SeptAClub Brugge KV0-3
- 13 SeptHGent1-1
- 6 SeptAAnderlecht0-0
Head to head
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 21 |
| 3 |  Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  KVC Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Standard Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 |  St. Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 |  OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
| 18 |  Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: FAQ
What is the Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Genk.
Who is the favourite to win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
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Union St. Gilloise are favourites. Our model gives Union St. Gilloise a 44% chance of winning, Genk 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Union St. Gilloise vs Genk kick off?
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Union St. Gilloise vs Genk kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels.
