Premier League· Regular Season - 10· Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Chelsea8 Nov
Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sunderland vs Chelsea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Chelsea or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XSunderland or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Chelsea to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Sunderland to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Sunderland vs Chelsea preview & analysis
Match preview
Sunderland host Chelsea in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10) at Stadium of Light on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sunderland are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Torreense 2-1 away. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Most recently they beat Bournemouth 5-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sunderland have won 3, Chelsea have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chelsea narrow favourites: Sunderland 23%, draw 38%, Chelsea 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea.
Recent form
Sunderland- 15 OctATorreense2-1
- 10 OctHBrighton0-2
- 20 SeptAManchester City3-5
- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
Chelsea- 10 OctHBournemouth5-1
- 18 SeptABrentford0-3
- 12 SeptHHull City2-2
- 9 SeptHLeeds6-3
- 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Sunderland vs Chelsea: FAQ
What is the Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea.
Who is the favourite to win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
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Chelsea are favourites. Our model gives Sunderland a 23% chance of winning, Chelsea 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sunderland vs Chelsea kick off?
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Sunderland vs Chelsea kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
