Liga Profesional· Clausura - 10· Estadio 15 de Abril
Union Santa Fe
Independiente1-2
FT
Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Union Santa Fe vs Independiente tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Union Santa Fe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.16 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Independiente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| 1XUnion Santa Fe or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| X2Independiente or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.30 | - |
| 1Union Santa Fe to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Independiente to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Union Santa Fe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.76 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.17 | - |
Union Santa Fe vs Independiente preview & analysis
Match preview
Union Santa Fe host Independiente in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 10) at Estadio 15 de Abril on Saturday, 19 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Union Santa Fe arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Talleres Cordoba 1-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 21 points from 16 games. Independiente arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 1-1 at home. They're 5th in the table with 24 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Union Santa Fe have won 1, Independiente have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Union Santa Fe narrow favourites: Union Santa Fe 38%, draw 32%, Independiente 30%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Union Santa Fe- 13 SeptATalleres Cordoba1-2
- 8 SeptHInstituto Cordoba3-2
- 28 AugHSarmiento Junin4-1
Independiente- 13 SeptHSan Lorenzo1-1
- 6 SeptACentral Cordoba de Santiago1-0
- 30 AugHGimnasia M.0-3
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Union Santa Fe vs Independiente: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
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Union Santa Fe are favourites. Our model gives Union Santa Fe a 38% chance of winning, Independiente 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Union Santa Fe vs Independiente kick off?
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Union Santa Fe vs Independiente kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe.
