Ligue 1· Regular Season - 33· Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse
Lyon2-1
FT
Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Toulouse vs Lyon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lyon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Lyon or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.53 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.62 | - |
| 1XToulouse or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 2Lyon to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lyon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1Toulouse to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.05 | - |
Toulouse vs Lyon preview & analysis
Match preview
Toulouse host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 33) at Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toulouse have won 1, Lyon have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lyon narrow favourites: Toulouse 17%, draw 41%, Lyon 42%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.3 - 2.3 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 70 |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 60 |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 59 |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 | 53 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 36 |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 32 |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 17 |
Toulouse vs Lyon: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Toulouse vs Lyon?
+
Lyon are favourites. Our model gives Toulouse a 17% chance of winning, Lyon 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Lyon?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Toulouse vs Lyon kick off?
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Toulouse vs Lyon kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.
