Ligue 1· Regular Season - 8· Stadium Municipal
Toulouse
Estac Troyes24 Oct
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
More Toulouse vs Estac Troyes tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| 1XToulouse or Draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| AH2 +1.5Estac Troyes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.68 | 1.50 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| 1Toulouse to win | 54% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| X2Estac Troyes or Draw | 46% | 2.18 | 2.21 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.41 | 2.36 |
| AH1 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.46 | 2.86 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 | 2.43 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.70 | 4.21 |
| 2Estac Troyes to win | 19% | 5.30 | 4.88 |
| AH2 -1.5Estac Troyes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.67 | 8.90 |
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.50 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 4.21 | 4.88 | 1.69 | 2.36 | 1.61 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.64 | 2.29 | 1.61 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.07 | 4.68 | 1.63 | 2.31 | - | - |
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes preview & analysis
Match preview
Toulouse host Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Stadium Municipal on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Toulouse arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Le Mans 3-0 away. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 7 games. Estac Troyes are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Marseille 0-2 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toulouse have won 4, Estac Troyes have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toulouse favourites: Toulouse 54%, draw 27%, Estac Troyes 19%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.69, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Toulouse 2-0 Estac Troyes.
Recent form
Toulouse- 16 OctALe Mans3-0
- 10 OctAMonaco2-2
- 3 OctHPAU2-3
- 19 SeptHLe Havre3-2
- 12 SeptALorient2-2
Estac Troyes- 11 OctHMarseille0-2
- 2 OctADijon2-2
- 19 SeptAAngers0-2
- 13 SeptALille0-2
- 6 SeptHStrasbourg2-6
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: FAQ
What is the Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69. Our predicted score is Toulouse 2-0 Estac Troyes.
Who is the favourite to win Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
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Toulouse are favourites. Our model gives Toulouse a 54% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 19%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Toulouse vs Estac Troyes kick off?
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Toulouse vs Estac Troyes kicks off at 15:15 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse.
