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MLS· Regular Season - 23· BMO Field
Toronto FC logoToronto FC
Chicago Fire logoChicago Fire

4-4

FT

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Betting Tips

Sunday, 6 September 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

Votes: 0
✕ Our model got it wrong

How many goals?

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✓ Our model got it right

Match probabilities

23%Toronto FC
38%Draw
39%Chicago Fire
Over 2.5 goals60%
Under 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score60%
Clean sheet either side40%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH2 +1.5Chicago Fire +1.5 (Asian Handicap)89%1.12-
X2Chicago Fire or Draw77%1.30-
AH1 +1.5Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap)72%1.40-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals62%1.60-
1XToronto FC or Draw61%1.65-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score60%1.66-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals60%1.67-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals40%2.49-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score40%2.52-
2Chicago Fire to win39%2.54-
XDraw38%2.65-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals38%2.67-
AH2 -1.5Chicago Fire -1.5 (Asian Handicap)28%3.53-
1Toronto FC to win23%4.39-
AH1 -1.5Toronto FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap)11%9.10-

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire preview & analysis

Match preview

Toronto FC host Chicago Fire in the MLS (Regular Season - 23) at BMO Field on Sunday, 6 September 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toronto FC have won 0, Chicago Fire have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Chicago Fire narrow favourites: Toronto FC 23%, draw 38%, Chicago Fire 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

Head to head

24/05/2026Chicago Fire2-1Toronto FC
05/10/2025Chicago Fire2-2Toronto FC
15/03/2025Toronto FC1-2Chicago Fire
29/09/2024Chicago Fire1-1Toronto FC
16/06/2024Toronto FC1-4Chicago Fire
16/07/2023Chicago Fire1-0Toronto FC

MLS table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC logoNashville SC292063+4166
2Inter Miami logoInter Miami2914105+2052
3New England Revolution logoNew England Revolution2915410+749
4Chicago Fire logoChicago Fire291469+948
5Charlotte logoCharlotte291379+846
6Philadelphia Union logoPhiladelphia Union2913610+1345
7Orlando City SC logoOrlando City SC2911513-1538
8New York Red Bulls logoNew York Red Bulls2910613-1536
9FC Cincinnati logoFC Cincinnati289910-836
10New York City FC logoNew York City FC298912+233
11Toronto FC logoToronto FC2971210-1133
12DC United logoDC United287129-1133
13Columbus Crew logoColumbus Crew299515-332
14Atlanta United FC logoAtlanta United FC298615-1230
15CF Montreal logoCF Montreal296617-2424

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire: FAQ

Who is the favourite to win Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

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Chicago Fire are favourites. Our model gives Toronto FC a 23% chance of winning, Chicago Fire 39%, and the draw 38%.

Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

When does Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?

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Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at BMO Field, Toronto.

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