Oh My Tip
A-League· Semi-finals· Sydney Football Stadium
Sydney logoSydney
Newcastle Jets logoNewcastle Jets
W

1-1

FT

Sydney vs Newcastle Jets Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Who will win?

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✕ Our model got it wrong

How many goals?

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✓ Our model got it right

Match probabilities

38%Sydney
32%Draw
30%Newcastle Jets
Over 2.5 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score51%
Clean sheet either side49%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Sydney vs Newcastle Jets tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH1 +1.5Sydney +1.5 (Asian Handicap)87%1.15-
AH2 +1.5Newcastle Jets +1.5 (Asian Handicap)81%1.24-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals76%1.32-
1XSydney or Draw70%1.44-
X2Newcastle Jets or Draw62%1.61-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals54%1.84-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score51%1.98-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score49%2.02-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals46%2.19-
1Sydney to win38%2.65-
XDraw32%3.14-
2Newcastle Jets to win30%3.29-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals24%4.13-
AH1 -1.5Sydney -1.5 (Asian Handicap)19%5.21-
AH2 -1.5Newcastle Jets -1.5 (Asian Handicap)13%7.79-

Sydney vs Newcastle Jets preview & analysis

Match preview

Sydney host Newcastle Jets in the A-League (Semi-finals) at Sydney Football Stadium on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 09:40 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Newcastle Jets arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Central Coast Mariners 4-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 48 points from 26 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sydney have won 2, Newcastle Jets have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Sydney narrow favourites: Sydney 38%, draw 32%, Newcastle Jets 30%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.

Recent form

Sydney logoSydney
    Newcastle Jets logoNewcastle Jets
    W
    • 25 AprHCentral Coast Mariners4-0

    Head to head

    22/03/2026Sydney1-2Newcastle Jets
    20/12/2025Newcastle Jets2-0Sydney
    01/11/2025Newcastle Jets1-4Sydney
    20/04/2025Sydney3-2Newcastle Jets
    04/01/2025Newcastle Jets2-2Sydney
    07/04/2024Newcastle Jets3-1Sydney

    A-League table

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Newcastle Jets logoNewcastle Jets261538+1648
    2Adelaide United logoAdelaide United261277+1043
    3Auckland logoAuckland261196+1342
    4Melbourne Victory logoMelbourne Victory261178+1140
    5Sydney logoSydney261169+839
    6Melbourne City logoMelbourne City261088038
    7Macarthur logoMacarthur269710-734
    8Wellington Phoenix logoWellington Phoenix269611-1233
    9Central Coast Mariners logoCentral Coast Mariners268810-732
    10Perth Glory logoPerth Glory268711-731
    11Brisbane Roar logoBrisbane Roar266812-926
    12Western Sydney Wanderers logoWestern Sydney Wanderers265615-1621

    Sydney vs Newcastle Jets: FAQ

    Who is the favourite to win Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

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    Sydney are favourites. Our model gives Sydney a 38% chance of winning, Newcastle Jets 30%, and the draw 32%.

    Will both teams score in Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

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    We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.

    When does Sydney vs Newcastle Jets kick off?

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    Sydney vs Newcastle Jets kicks off at 09:40 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney.

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