Bundesliga· Regular Season - 33· Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli2-1
FT
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5RB Leipzig +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XRB Leipzig or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| AH2 +1.5FC St. Pauli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| X2FC St. Pauli or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1RB Leipzig to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5RB Leipzig -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.46 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| 2FC St. Pauli to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC St. Pauli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.73 | - |
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli preview & analysis
Match preview
RB Leipzig host FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 33) at Red Bull Arena on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, RB Leipzig have won 2, FC St. Pauli have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes RB Leipzig favourites: RB Leipzig 47%, draw 41%, FC St. Pauli 12%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 43 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
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RB Leipzig are favourites. Our model gives RB Leipzig a 47% chance of winning, FC St. Pauli 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
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RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
