Championship· Regular Season - 7· Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea
Burnley3-1
FT
Swansea vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Swansea vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSwansea or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Swansea to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Burnley to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Swansea vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Swansea host Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 7) at Swansea.com Stadium on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Swansea arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Southampton 1-3 away. They're 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games. Burnley arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Wrexham 1-1 away. They're 21st in the table with 8 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Swansea have won 1, Burnley have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Swansea narrow favourites: Swansea 44%, draw 38%, Burnley 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Swansea- 8 SeptASouthampton1-3
- 5 SeptHWrexham0-0
Burnley- 8 SeptAWrexham1-1
- 5 SeptHBristol City1-2
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Swansea vs Burnley: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Swansea vs Burnley?
+
Swansea are favourites. Our model gives Swansea a 44% chance of winning, Burnley 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Swansea vs Burnley kick off?
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Swansea vs Burnley kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.
