Premier League· Regular Season - 8· Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Leeds25 Oct
Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Leeds or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
More Sunderland vs Leeds tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| AH1 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| 1XSunderland or Draw | 62% | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.09 | 1.95 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| 2Leeds to win | 38% | 2.60 | 2.63 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.23 | 3.44 |
| 1Sunderland to win | 31% | 3.26 | 2.90 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.84 | 3.48 |
| AH2 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.10 | 5.05 |
| AH1 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.76 | 5.80 |
Sunderland vs Leeds odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | - | - | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.44 | 2.63 | 2.14 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.82 | 3.35 | 2.56 | 2.07 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75 | 3.38 | 2.57 | 2.03 | 1.80 | - | - |
Sunderland vs Leeds preview & analysis
Match preview
Sunderland host Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8) at Stadium of Light on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sunderland are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Torreense 2-1 away. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Leeds arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 1-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sunderland have won 1, Leeds have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Leeds narrow favourites: Sunderland 31%, draw 31%, Leeds 38%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 47% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Leeds should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Leeds or Draw at 1.47, which our model rates at a 69% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sunderland 0-1 Leeds.
Recent form
Sunderland- 15 OctATorreense2-1
- 10 OctHBrighton0-2
- 20 SeptAManchester City3-5
- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
Leeds- 10 OctAArsenal1-2
- 20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0
- 14 SeptHNewcastle4-1
- 9 SeptAChelsea3-6
- 5 SeptABrighton1-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Sunderland vs Leeds: FAQ
What is the Sunderland vs Leeds prediction?
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Our tip is Leeds or Draw at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is Sunderland 0-1 Leeds.
Who is the favourite to win Sunderland vs Leeds?
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Leeds are favourites. Our model gives Sunderland a 31% chance of winning, Leeds 38%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Leeds?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sunderland vs Leeds kick off?
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Sunderland vs Leeds kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
