Austrian Bundesliga· Regular Season - 12· Merkur-Arena
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg8 Nov
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Red Bull Salzburg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Red Bull Salzburg or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XSturm Graz or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Red Bull Salzburg to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Red Bull Salzburg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Sturm Graz to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sturm Graz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg preview & analysis
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Red Bull Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga (Regular Season - 12) at Merkur-Arena on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sturm Graz arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Bournemouth 0-3 away. They're 4th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Red Bull Salzburg arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to AC Milan 0-4 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sturm Graz have won 2, Red Bull Salzburg have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Red Bull Salzburg narrow favourites: Sturm Graz 23%, draw 38%, Red Bull Salzburg 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sturm Graz 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg.
Recent form
Sturm Graz- 15 OctABournemouth0-3
- 10 OctAAustria Vienna2-0
- 2 OctHFloridsdorfer AC3-1
- 20 SeptARed Bull Salzburg0-3
- 16 SeptHRennes0-0
Red Bull Salzburg- 15 OctHAC Milan0-4
- 10 OctAGrazer AK0-0
- 2 OctHFC BW Linz1-2
- 20 SeptHSturm Graz3-0
- 17 SeptALevski Sofia1-0
Head to head
Austrian Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 |  Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 8 |  Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 |  WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg: FAQ
What is the Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg.
Who is the favourite to win Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
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Red Bull Salzburg are favourites. Our model gives Sturm Graz a 23% chance of winning, Red Bull Salzburg 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg kick off?
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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Merkur-Arena, Graz.
