Austrian Bundesliga· Championship Group - 32· Merkur-Arena
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna2-0
FT
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSturm Graz or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Rapid Vienna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Rapid Vienna or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Sturm Graz to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sturm Graz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Rapid Vienna to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rapid Vienna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna preview & analysis
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Rapid Vienna in the Austrian Bundesliga (Championship Group - 32) at Merkur-Arena on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sturm Graz have won 2, Rapid Vienna have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sturm Graz narrow favourites: Sturm Graz 44%, draw 38%, Rapid Vienna 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Austrian Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | +7 | 38 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 37 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 37 |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | +5 | 33 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +1 | 31 |
| 8 |  SCR Altach | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 |  Ried | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 |  Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -14 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC BW Linz | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -16 | 15 |
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
+
Sturm Graz are favourites. Our model gives Sturm Graz a 44% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
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Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Merkur-Arena, Graz.
