MLS· Regular Season - 16· Children's Mercy Park
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC2-1
FT
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 23 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Minnesota United FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Minnesota United FC or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sporting Kansas City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XSporting Kansas City or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 2Minnesota United FC to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Minnesota United FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1Sporting Kansas City to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sporting Kansas City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.43 | - |
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Sporting Kansas City host Minnesota United FC in the MLS (Regular Season - 16) at Children's Mercy Park on Thursday, 23 July 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sporting Kansas City have won 0, Minnesota United FC have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Minnesota United FC narrow favourites: Sporting Kansas City 23%, draw 38%, Minnesota United FC 39%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.5 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC?
+
Minnesota United FC are favourites. Our model gives Sporting Kansas City a 23% chance of winning, Minnesota United FC 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
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Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Thursday, 23 July 2026 at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City.
