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MLS· Regular Season - 16· Gillette Stadium
New England Revolution logoNew England Revolution
Toronto FC logoToronto FC

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New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Thursday, 23 July 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

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✕ Our model got it wrong

How many goals?

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✓ Our model got it right

Match probabilities

44%New England Revolution
38%Draw
18%Toronto FC
Over 2.5 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score49%
Clean sheet either side51%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More New England Revolution vs Toronto FC tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH1 +1.5New England Revolution +1.5 (Asian Handicap)93%1.08-
1XNew England Revolution or Draw82%1.23-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals74%1.36-
AH2 +1.5Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap)70%1.42-
X2Toronto FC or Draw56%1.78-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals52%1.93-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score51%1.97-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score49%2.03-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals48%2.08-
1New England Revolution to win44%2.28-
XDraw38%2.65-
AH1 -1.5New England Revolution -1.5 (Asian Handicap)30%3.37-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals26%3.79-
2Toronto FC to win18%5.43-
AH2 -1.5Toronto FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap)7%13.91-

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC preview & analysis

Match preview

New England Revolution host Toronto FC in the MLS (Regular Season - 16) at Gillette Stadium on Thursday, 23 July 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, New England Revolution have won 3, Toronto FC have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes New England Revolution narrow favourites: New England Revolution 44%, draw 38%, Toronto FC 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.

Head to head

14/09/2025New England Revolution1-1Toronto FC
03/05/2025Toronto FC0-2New England Revolution
21/04/2024Toronto FC1-0New England Revolution
03/03/2024New England Revolution0-1Toronto FC
25/06/2023New England Revolution2-1Toronto FC
07/05/2023Toronto FC0-2New England Revolution

MLS table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC logoNashville SC292063+4166
2Inter Miami logoInter Miami2914105+2052
3New England Revolution logoNew England Revolution2915410+749
4Chicago Fire logoChicago Fire291469+948
5Charlotte logoCharlotte291379+846
6Philadelphia Union logoPhiladelphia Union2913610+1345
7Orlando City SC logoOrlando City SC2911513-1538
8New York Red Bulls logoNew York Red Bulls2910613-1536
9FC Cincinnati logoFC Cincinnati289910-836
10New York City FC logoNew York City FC298912+233
11Toronto FC logoToronto FC2971210-1133
12DC United logoDC United287129-1133
13Columbus Crew logoColumbus Crew299515-332
14Atlanta United FC logoAtlanta United FC298615-1230
15CF Montreal logoCF Montreal296617-2424

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC: FAQ

Who is the favourite to win New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?

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New England Revolution are favourites. Our model gives New England Revolution a 44% chance of winning, Toronto FC 18%, and the draw 38%.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?

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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.

When does New England Revolution vs Toronto FC kick off?

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New England Revolution vs Toronto FC kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Thursday, 23 July 2026 at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

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