Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 32· Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP
Vitória SC5-1
FT
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 4 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sporting CP vs Vitória SC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sporting CP +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSporting CP or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Vitória SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Vitória SC or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Sporting CP to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Vitória SC to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vitória SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC preview & analysis
Match preview
Sporting CP host Vitória SC in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 32) at Estádio José Alvalade on Monday, 4 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sporting CP have won 3, Vitória SC have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sporting CP narrow favourites: Sporting CP 44%, draw 38%, Vitória SC 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
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Sporting CP are favourites. Our model gives Sporting CP a 44% chance of winning, Vitória SC 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sporting CP vs Vitória SC kick off?
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Sporting CP vs Vitória SC kicks off at 19:15 UTC on Monday, 4 May 2026 at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon.
