Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 26· Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP
Tondela2-2
FT
Sporting CP vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 29 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sporting CP vs Tondela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sporting CP +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XSporting CP or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Tondela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| X2Tondela or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Sporting CP to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| 2Tondela to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Tondela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.95 | - |
Sporting CP vs Tondela preview & analysis
Match preview
Sporting CP host Tondela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 26) at Estádio José Alvalade on Wednesday, 29 April 2026, with kick-off at 19:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sporting CP have won 6, Tondela have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sporting CP favourites: Sporting CP 47%, draw 41%, Tondela 12%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Sporting CP vs Tondela: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sporting CP vs Tondela?
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Sporting CP are favourites. Our model gives Sporting CP a 47% chance of winning, Tondela 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Tondela?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sporting CP vs Tondela kick off?
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Sporting CP vs Tondela kicks off at 19:15 UTC on Wednesday, 29 April 2026 at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon.
