Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 13
Sporting CP
Maritimo6 Dec
Sporting CP vs Maritimo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sporting CP vs Maritimo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sporting CP +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XSporting CP or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Maritimo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| X2Maritimo or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Sporting CP to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.46 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| 2Maritimo to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Maritimo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.73 | - |
Sporting CP vs Maritimo preview & analysis
Match preview
Sporting CP host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 13) on Sunday, 6 December 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sporting CP arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Lens 2-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 8 games. Maritimo are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to FC Porto 1-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sporting CP have won 4, Maritimo have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sporting CP favourites: Sporting CP 47%, draw 41%, Maritimo 12%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sporting CP 2-0 Maritimo.
Recent form
Sporting CP- 13 OctALens2-0
- 9 OctASC Braga3-1
- 19 SeptHArouca2-2
- 13 SeptAFamalicao1-1
- 9 SeptHGalatasaray3-1
Maritimo- 10 OctHFC Porto1-2
- 19 SeptAGIL Vicente1-1
- 14 SeptAMoreirense1-3
- 5 SeptHBenfica0-3
- 29 AugAArouca1-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Sporting CP vs Maritimo: FAQ
What is the Sporting CP vs Maritimo prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2-0 Maritimo.
Who is the favourite to win Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
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Sporting CP are favourites. Our model gives Sporting CP a 47% chance of winning, Maritimo 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sporting CP vs Maritimo kick off?
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Sporting CP vs Maritimo kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 6 December 2026.
