Championship· Regular Season - 6· St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
Swansea3-1
FT
Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Southampton vs Swansea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSouthampton or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2Swansea or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Southampton to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Swansea to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Southampton vs Swansea preview & analysis
Match preview
Southampton host Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 6) at St. Mary's Stadium on Tuesday, 8 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Southampton arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Lincoln 1-1 away. They're 7th in the table with 16 points from 10 games. Swansea arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 0. Most recently they drew with Wrexham 0-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Southampton have won 5, Swansea have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton narrow favourites: Southampton 44%, draw 38%, Swansea 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Southampton- 5 SeptALincoln1-1
Swansea- 5 SeptHWrexham0-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
Southampton vs Swansea: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Southampton vs Swansea?
+
Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Southampton a 44% chance of winning, Swansea 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Swansea?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Southampton vs Swansea kick off?
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Southampton vs Swansea kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
