Championship· Regular Season - 7· St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
Bristol City4-1
FT
Southampton vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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More Southampton vs Bristol City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSouthampton or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bristol City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Bristol City or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 1Southampton to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| 2Bristol City to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bristol City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.20 | - |
Southampton vs Bristol City preview & analysis
Match preview
Southampton host Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 7) at St. Mary's Stadium on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Southampton arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Swansea 3-1 at home. They're 7th in the table with 16 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Southampton have won 2, Bristol City have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton narrow favourites: Southampton 44%, draw 38%, Bristol City 18%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Southampton- 8 SeptHSwansea3-1
- 5 SeptALincoln1-1
Bristol CityHead to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
Southampton vs Bristol City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Southampton vs Bristol City?
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Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Southampton a 44% chance of winning, Bristol City 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Bristol City?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Southampton vs Bristol City kick off?
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Southampton vs Bristol City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
