Liga Profesional· Clausura - 11· Estadio Eva Peron
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate1-1
FT
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
River Plate to win
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
0.6 - 1.8
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5River Plate +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| X2River Plate or Draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| AH1 +1.5Sarmiento Junin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | 1.50 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.72 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.12 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | 2.15 |
| 1XSarmiento Junin or Draw | 42% | 2.41 | 2.40 |
| AH2 -1.5River Plate -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | 2.59 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.61 | 3.90 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 | 3.58 |
| 1Sarmiento Junin to win | 14% | 7.22 | 6.48 |
| AH1 -1.5Sarmiento Junin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 33.76 | 10.00 |
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.70 | 1.53 | - | - | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| 1xBet | 6.48 | 3.86 | 1.56 | 2.12 | 1.72 | 2.15 | 1.63 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 3.90 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 3.70 | 1.55 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 6.35 | 3.78 | 1.53 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 2.15 | 1.61 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 6.99 | 4.03 | 1.55 | 2.13 | 1.78 | - | - |
| SBO | 5.32 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 2.31 | 1.60 | - | - |
| Betano | 7.40 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate preview & analysis
Match preview
Sarmiento Junin host River Plate in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 11) at Estadio Eva Peron on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sarmiento Junin arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Aldosivi 3-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 19 points from 16 games. River Plate arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 29 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sarmiento Junin have won 2, River Plate have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes River Plate favourites: Sarmiento Junin 14%, draw 28%, River Plate 58%. We expect around 2.5 goals (0.6 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 44% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
River Plate are the better side on the numbers and should have enough to win on the road. Our pick is River Plate to win at 1.60, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sarmiento Junin 0-1 River Plate.
Recent form
Sarmiento Junin- 9 OctAAldosivi3-1
- 19 SeptARacing Club1-3
- 13 SeptHBelgrano Cordoba1-1
- 4 SeptAEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-0
- 28 AugAUnion Santa Fe1-4
River Plate- 11 OctHEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1-0
- 19 SeptHHuracan1-2
- 12 SeptAAtletico Tucuman2-1
- 6 SeptHIndepend. Rivadavia3-1
- 30 AugABanfield3-2
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate: FAQ
What is the Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate prediction?
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Our tip is River Plate to win at odds of 1.60. Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0-1 River Plate.
Who is the favourite to win Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
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River Plate are favourites. Our model gives Sarmiento Junin a 14% chance of winning, River Plate 58%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate kick off?
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Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning.
