Copa Sudamericana· Quarter-finals· Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos
Atletico-MG2-0
FT
Santos vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Santos vs Atletico-MG tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSantos or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Atletico-MG or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Santos to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Atletico-MG to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Santos vs Atletico-MG preview & analysis
Match preview
Santos host Atletico-MG in the Copa Sudamericana (Quarter-finals) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira on Wednesday, 9 September 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Santos have won 2, Atletico-MG have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santos narrow favourites: Santos 44%, draw 38%, Atletico-MG 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
Santos vs Atletico-MG: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Santos vs Atletico-MG?
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Santos are favourites. Our model gives Santos a 44% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Santos vs Atletico-MG?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Santos vs Atletico-MG kick off?
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Santos vs Atletico-MG kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.
