Champions League· League Stage - 1· Anfield
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid2-1
FT
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLiverpool or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Atletico Madrid or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Liverpool to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Atletico Madrid to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Liverpool host Atletico Madrid in the Champions League (League Stage - 1) at Anfield on Wednesday, 9 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Liverpool have won 3, Atletico Madrid have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.6 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Liverpool narrow favourites: Liverpool 44%, draw 38%, Atletico Madrid 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?
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Liverpool are favourites. Our model gives Liverpool a 44% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at Anfield, Liverpool.
