Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 1· Estadio de São Miguel
Santa Clara
Nacional2-2
FT
Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 10 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Santa Clara vs Nacional tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Santa Clara +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Nacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XSanta Clara or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Nacional or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Santa Clara to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Nacional to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Santa Clara -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Nacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Santa Clara vs Nacional preview & analysis
Match preview
Santa Clara host Nacional in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 1) at Estadio de São Miguel on Monday, 10 August 2026, with kick-off at 19:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Santa Clara have won 2, Nacional have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santa Clara narrow favourites: Santa Clara 37%, draw 31%, Nacional 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Santa Clara vs Nacional: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Santa Clara vs Nacional?
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Santa Clara are favourites. Our model gives Santa Clara a 37% chance of winning, Nacional 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Nacional?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Santa Clara vs Nacional kick off?
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Santa Clara vs Nacional kicks off at 19:15 UTC on Monday, 10 August 2026 at Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada.