J1 League· Regular Season - 12· Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse24 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Shimizu S-pulse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Shimizu S-pulse or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Shimizu S-pulse to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Shimizu S-pulse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse preview & analysis
Match preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League (Regular Season - 12) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 05:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Shimizu S-pulse arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 13 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 2, Shimizu S-pulse have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima narrow favourites: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%, draw 38%, Shimizu S-pulse 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse.
Recent form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- 14 OctAMatsumoto Yamaga1-0
- 11 OctATokyo Verdy2-0
- 7 OctHIwaki4-0
- 29 SeptATochigi City2-0
- 19 SeptAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
Shimizu S-pulse- 14 OctAYokohama F. Marinos1-2
- 11 OctAMito Hollyhock2-1
- 7 OctHV-varen Nagasaki2-1
- 29 SeptAKanazawa2-0
- 19 SeptHJEF United Chiba2-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse: FAQ
What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse.
Who is the favourite to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. Our model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 44% chance of winning, Shimizu S-pulse 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse kick off?
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse kicks off at 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima.
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