Liga Profesional· Clausura - 14· Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys24 Oct
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
0.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Newells Old Boys +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH1 +1.5San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| X2Newells Old Boys or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XSan Lorenzo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Newells Old Boys to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 29% | 3.41 | - |
| 1San Lorenzo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Newells Old Boys -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.54 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH1 -1.5San Lorenzo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.21 | - |
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys preview & analysis
Match preview
San Lorenzo host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 14) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
San Lorenzo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Deportivo Riestra 1-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 22 points from 16 games. Newells Old Boys arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Gimnasia M. 0-1 away. They're 14th in the table with 15 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, San Lorenzo have won 0, Newells Old Boys have won 2 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newells Old Boys narrow favourites: San Lorenzo 23%, draw 38%, Newells Old Boys 39%. We expect around 1.6 goals (0.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 29% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is San Lorenzo 0-1 Newells Old Boys.
Recent form
San Lorenzo- 11 OctHDeportivo Riestra1-0
- 3 OctADefensa Y Justicia0-3
- 20 SeptHBoca Juniors0-2
- 13 SeptAIndependiente1-1
- 5 SeptHTalleres Cordoba1-0
Newells Old Boys- 12 OctAGimnasia M.0-1
- 3 OctHLanus0-0
- 20 SeptAPlatense1-0
- 11 SeptHVelez Sarsfield1-1
- 6 SeptARosario Central1-1
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys: FAQ
What is the San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0-1 Newells Old Boys.
Who is the favourite to win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
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Newells Old Boys are favourites. Our model gives San Lorenzo a 23% chance of winning, Newells Old Boys 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
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We rate both teams to score at 29%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys kick off?
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San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys kicks off at 22:15 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires.
