League Two· Regular Season - 12· Aesseal New York Stadium
Rotherham
Newport County20 Oct
Rotherham vs Newport County Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Rotherham vs Newport County tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Newport County +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Rotherham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2Newport County or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XRotherham or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2Newport County to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Rotherham to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Newport County -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Rotherham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Rotherham vs Newport County preview & analysis
Match preview
Rotherham host Newport County in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Aesseal New York Stadium on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Rotherham are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Gillingham 1-4 at home. They're 20th in the table with 10 points from 10 games. Newport County arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Colchester 1-0 at home. They're 12th in the table with 13 points from 10 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newport County narrow favourites: Rotherham 23%, draw 38%, Newport County 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Rotherham 0-1 Newport County.
Recent form
Rotherham- 10 OctHGillingham1-4
- 6 OctHBradford0-4
- 3 OctAExeter City0-1
- 26 SeptHCrewe1-1
- 22 SeptAYork1-1
Newport County- 10 OctHColchester1-0
- 6 OctHPlymouth2-2
- 3 OctAGillingham0-0
- 26 SeptHGrimsby2-1
- 22 SeptASwindon Town2-0
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
Rotherham vs Newport County: FAQ
What is the Rotherham vs Newport County prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Rotherham 0-1 Newport County.
Who is the favourite to win Rotherham vs Newport County?
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Newport County are favourites. Our model gives Rotherham a 23% chance of winning, Newport County 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Rotherham vs Newport County?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Rotherham vs Newport County kick off?
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Rotherham vs Newport County kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham.
