League Two· Regular Season - 12· St James Park
Exeter City
Crewe20 Oct
Exeter City vs Crewe Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
1.0 - 0.6
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Match probabilities
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More Exeter City vs Crewe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Exeter City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Crewe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XExeter City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| X2Crewe or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Exeter City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 28% | 3.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| 2Crewe to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Exeter City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Crewe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.29 | - |
Exeter City vs Crewe preview & analysis
Match preview
Exeter City host Crewe in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at St James Park on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Exeter City arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 12 points from 10 games. Crewe arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Swindon Town 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Exeter City have won 4, Crewe have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Exeter City narrow favourites: Exeter City 44%, draw 38%, Crewe 18%. We expect around 1.6 goals (1.0 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 28% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Exeter City 1-0 Crewe.
Recent form
Exeter City- 10 OctAShrewsbury1-0
- 6 OctHOxford United2-2
- 3 OctHRotherham1-0
- 26 SeptABristol Rovers0-1
- 22 SeptACheltenham2-2
Crewe- 10 OctASwindon Town1-0
- 6 OctABlackpool2-2
- 3 OctHBristol Rovers3-1
- 26 SeptARotherham1-1
- 22 SeptHAston Villa U214-1
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 |  Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Exeter City vs Crewe: FAQ
What is the Exeter City vs Crewe prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Exeter City 1-0 Crewe.
Who is the favourite to win Exeter City vs Crewe?
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Exeter City are favourites. Our model gives Exeter City a 44% chance of winning, Crewe 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Exeter City vs Crewe?
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We rate both teams to score at 28%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Exeter City vs Crewe kick off?
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Exeter City vs Crewe kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at St James Park, Exeter.
