Liga Profesional· Apertura - Semi-finals· Estadio Monumental
River Plate
Rosario Central1-0
FT
River Plate vs Rosario Central Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More River Plate vs Rosario Central tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5River Plate +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XRiver Plate or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Rosario Central +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Rosario Central or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1River Plate to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5River Plate -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Rosario Central to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rosario Central -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
River Plate vs Rosario Central preview & analysis
Match preview
River Plate host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - Semi-finals) at Estadio Monumental on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, River Plate have won 3, Rosario Central have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes River Plate narrow favourites: River Plate 44%, draw 38%, Rosario Central 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
River Plate vs Rosario Central: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win River Plate vs Rosario Central?
+
River Plate are favourites. Our model gives River Plate a 44% chance of winning, Rosario Central 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in River Plate vs Rosario Central?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does River Plate vs Rosario Central kick off?
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River Plate vs Rosario Central kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires.
