Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 6· Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave
Estrela3-3
FT
Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 14 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Rio Ave vs Estrela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Estrela or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Rio Ave +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XRio Ave or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Estrela to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Rio Ave to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Rio Ave -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Rio Ave vs Estrela preview & analysis
Match preview
Rio Ave host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Estádio do Rio Ave FC on Monday, 14 September 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Rio Ave arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Santa Clara 0-4 away. They're 14th in the table with 7 points from 8 games. Estrela arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat SC Braga 2-1 at home. They're 10th in the table with 10 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Rio Ave have won 3, Estrela have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Estrela narrow favourites: Rio Ave 23%, draw 38%, Estrela 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Rio Ave- 6 SeptASanta Clara0-4
- 28 AugHSporting CP0-4
- 22 AugAEstoril2-0
Estrela- 10 SeptHSC Braga2-1
- 5 SeptHFamalicao2-2
- 30 AugANacional3-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Rio Ave vs Estrela: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Rio Ave vs Estrela?
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Estrela are favourites. Our model gives Rio Ave a 23% chance of winning, Estrela 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Estrela?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Rio Ave vs Estrela kick off?
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Rio Ave vs Estrela kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Monday, 14 September 2026 at Estádio do Rio Ave FC, Vila do Conde.
