Premier League· Regular Season - 4· Elland Road
Leeds
Newcastle4-1
FT
Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 14 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Leeds vs Newcastle tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Newcastle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Newcastle or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XLeeds or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Newcastle to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Newcastle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Leeds to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Leeds vs Newcastle preview & analysis
Match preview
Leeds host Newcastle in the Premier League (Regular Season - 4) at Elland Road on Monday, 14 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Leeds arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Chelsea 3-6 away. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 6 games. Newcastle arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Millwall 1-0 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Leeds have won 0, Newcastle have won 2 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newcastle narrow favourites: Leeds 23%, draw 38%, Newcastle 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Leeds- 9 SeptAChelsea3-6
- 5 SeptABrighton1-1
- 30 AugHBrentford1-1
Newcastle- 8 SeptAMillwall1-0
- 5 SeptHBournemouth2-2
- 29 AugATottenham2-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Leeds vs Newcastle: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Leeds vs Newcastle?
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Newcastle are favourites. Our model gives Leeds a 23% chance of winning, Newcastle 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Newcastle?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Leeds vs Newcastle kick off?
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Leeds vs Newcastle kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Monday, 14 September 2026 at Elland Road, Leeds.
