Austrian Bundesliga· Championship Group - 30· Red Bull Arena
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz1-1
FT
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Sturm Graz or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Red Bull Salzburg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XRed Bull Salzburg or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Sturm Graz to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sturm Graz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Red Bull Salzburg to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Red Bull Salzburg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz preview & analysis
Match preview
Red Bull Salzburg host Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga (Championship Group - 30) at Red Bull Arena on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Red Bull Salzburg have won 1, Sturm Graz have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sturm Graz narrow favourites: Red Bull Salzburg 23%, draw 38%, Sturm Graz 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Austrian Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | +7 | 38 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 37 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 37 |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | +5 | 33 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +1 | 31 |
| 8 |  SCR Altach | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 |  Ried | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 |  Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -14 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC BW Linz | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -16 | 15 |
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
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Sturm Graz are favourites. Our model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 23% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz kick off?
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Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg.
