La Liga· Regular Season - 12· Anoeta
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano8 Nov
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Real Sociedad +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XReal Sociedad or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Rayo Vallecano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Rayo Vallecano or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Real Sociedad to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Real Sociedad -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Rayo Vallecano to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rayo Vallecano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano preview & analysis
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Regular Season - 12) at Anoeta on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Real Sociedad arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Union St. Gilloise 1-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 13 points from 8 games. Rayo Vallecano arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 0-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 8 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Real Sociedad have won 1, Rayo Vallecano have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Sociedad narrow favourites: Real Sociedad 44%, draw 38%, Rayo Vallecano 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano.
Recent form
Real Sociedad- 15 OctAUnion St. Gilloise1-1
- 11 OctHDeportivo La Coruna3-2
- 2 OctHAthletic Club0-1
- 20 SeptAValencia3-2
- 17 SeptHBournemouth1-2
Rayo Vallecano- 10 OctHAthletic Club0-0
- 19 SeptAOsasuna1-1
- 15 SeptHEspanyol2-1
- 12 SeptAReal Madrid1-4
- 5 SeptHRacing Santander3-2
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: FAQ
What is the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano.
Who is the favourite to win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
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Real Sociedad are favourites. Our model gives Real Sociedad a 44% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kicks off at 15:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Anoeta, San Sebastian.
