World Cup· Round of 16· AT&T Stadium
Portugal
Spain0-1
FT
Portugal vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 6 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Portugal vs Spain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Spain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Spain or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Portugal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| 1XPortugal or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.37 | - |
| 2Spain to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Spain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.67 | - |
| 1Portugal to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Portugal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.36 | - |
Portugal vs Spain preview & analysis
Match preview
Portugal host Spain in the World Cup (Round of 16) at AT&T Stadium on Monday, 6 July 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Portugal arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Croatia 2-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Portugal have won 0, Spain have won 1 and 5 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Spain narrow favourites: Portugal 23%, draw 38%, Spain 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Portugal- 3 JulHCroatia2-1
SpainHead to head
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 |  Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
Portugal vs Spain: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Portugal vs Spain?
+
Spain are favourites. Our model gives Portugal a 23% chance of winning, Spain 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Portugal vs Spain?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Portugal vs Spain kick off?
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Portugal vs Spain kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Monday, 6 July 2026 at AT&T Stadium, Dallas.
