World Cup· Round of 16· Estadio Banorte
Mexico
England2-3
FT
Mexico vs England Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 6 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Mexico vs England tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Mexico +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMexico or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5England +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2England or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Mexico to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mexico -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2England to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5England -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Mexico vs England preview & analysis
Match preview
Mexico host England in the World Cup (Round of 16) at Estadio Banorte on Monday, 6 July 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Mexico arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Ecuador 2-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 9 points from 3 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mexico narrow favourites: Mexico 44%, draw 38%, England 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Mexico- 1 JulHEcuador2-0
EnglandWorld Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Mexico vs England: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Mexico vs England?
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Mexico are favourites. Our model gives Mexico a 44% chance of winning, England 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mexico vs England?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Mexico vs England kick off?
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Mexico vs England kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Monday, 6 July 2026 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
