World Cup· Round of 32· BMO Field
Portugal
Croatia2-1
FT
Portugal vs Croatia Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 3 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Portugal vs Croatia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Portugal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XPortugal or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Croatia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| X2Croatia or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.17 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Portugal to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Portugal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| 2Croatia to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Croatia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.22 | - |
Portugal vs Croatia preview & analysis
Match preview
Portugal host Croatia in the World Cup (Round of 32) at BMO Field on Friday, 3 July 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Croatia arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Ghana 2-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Portugal have won 3, Croatia have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Portugal narrow favourites: Portugal 44%, draw 38%, Croatia 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 54% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Recent form
PortugalCroatia- 27 JunHGhana2-1
Head to head
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 3 |  Congo DR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Portugal vs Croatia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Portugal vs Croatia?
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Portugal are favourites. Our model gives Portugal a 44% chance of winning, Croatia 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Portugal vs Croatia?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Portugal vs Croatia kick off?
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Portugal vs Croatia kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Friday, 3 July 2026 at BMO Field, Toronto.
